Lachlan Geeves

What factors are most important to investing on the AFL?

Opponents, team lists and weather. Week to week match up’s and how an opposition is going to play is of crucial importance when betting AFL. Whether or not a team tags or is willing for their opponents to have plenty of footy is a massive part of disposal bets. Whether a game will be high scoring or tight is crucial for goal scorer bets. Looking at team lists and in’s and out’s week on week gives you hints in regards to how a team is going to try to play. Once you have figured this out, you can target specific games and match-ups to enhance your chances of successful bets. Weather is also crucial as any rain can kill goalscorer bets and also dictate what positions on the ground are likely to see more of the football.

In regards to betting in general, discipline is the most important factor with daylight second. A punter with 10/10 discipline and 6/10 skill will go better than a punter with 10/10 skill but 6/10 discipline over the long run. This is an advantage to betting on sport as opposed to racing as there isn’t a “next to go” in sport, which makes tilting after a couple of sick beats a lot harder.

Why have you decided to start providing your insights to subscribers?

The current wagering landscape, specifically, the closing of successful accounts has made it harder and harder to get bets on and without governments stepping in to rectify this, it will only get worse. If there is an opportunity to provide edges to punters who don’t have the time to identify these themselves then why not engage in a opportunity for a win-win relationship.